MOSCOW, December 21. Secretary of the Public chamber (OP) the Russian Federation and co-chair of the Russian popular front (popular front) Alexander Brechalov continues to lead the ranking of 100 promising political figures. This study aimed to identify the shapes that will have a significant impact on the field of public policy during elections to the state Duma in 2016, regularly prepares the Foundation Institute of socio-economic and political studies (ISAPI), the December issue will be published on Monday.
As noted in the accompanying materials ISAPI available, in a new study “summarizes the results of political activity and the dynamics of intra-party and public positions of politicians in the autumn – winter political season (September-December 2015)”.
The new structure of the rating
Compared with previous ratings, the current has changed in its structure that its authors explain “the approaching start of the election campaign in the state Duma”.
ISAPI appreciated prospects of the Russian politicians to participate in elections to the state Duma in 2016
As explained by the research Director of ISAPI Alexander Pozhalov, since the formation of the rating in September 2014, the participants were divided according to dynamics of change of their positions: distinguished leaders who are “on the rise”, with a stable rating and those who are “on the decline”.
However, after a single voting day in September of this year the approach has changed.
The December rankings are based on three categories: “Federal policy”, which includes MPs, senators, key figures in the parties, set the tone in the field of Federal public policy and the process of preparing parties to the election; “Public figures”, which are the leading leaders of public opinion and set the political and electoral agenda, working primarily in the field of society; “Regional policy and Federal perspectives” – the state Duma, are predominantly regional structure and regional policy, capable, according to experts, to be articulate participants in the Federal campaign in 2016.
Separately, there is a group of “Leaders” – 10 nominees from all three categories with the highest expert ratings.
However, he adds in the accompanying materials, “is still not evaluated the heads of the chambers of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation and the chairmen of the parliamentary parties”, the ranking also excludes heads of subjects of the Russian Federation “regardless of their party affiliation”.
In the group of “Leaders” included six representatives of the category of “Federal policy” and four categories “Public figures”.
Brechalov topped the rating of promising politicians, on the second place – business Ombudsman
First place in the ranking of retained Brechalov, whose leadership in ISAPI is associated with “growth of political influence of both public institutions OP the Russian Federation and the popular front”.
According to the Fire, Brechalov on all ratings “were in the top ten”. “His work largely represents the activities of onf, experts note that RPF has significantly reinforced its position in the socio-political field, actively sets the agenda, including the fight against corruption”, – said the Agency interlocutor. The second factor, in his opinion, was the operation of the OP that “after last year’s reboot, changing the structure has also become much more meaningful, active tool”, which works on issues of concern to citizens.
The runner-up Commissioner for human rights in Russia Ella Pamfilova. It is “not only affects the social agenda of the election campaign, but is now directly linked with the monitoring of the political and electoral rights”, explained the authors of the rating. And the business Ombudsman Boris Titov, who in the February-April survey second line of the rating was current in the fifth. “He not only vividly manifests itself in the main profile of the protection of the rights of entrepreneurs, but also actively promotes its own economic programme in the electoral political field,” – commented on in ISAPI his consistently high results.
Political analysts predict a further growth of a rating of the popular front against high confidence in Putin
In the group of “Federal policy” in the first ten best results were shown by two representatives of “United Russia” – the Secretary of the party’s General Council Sergei Neverov (third place) and the head of the Duma Committee on labor, social policy and veterans Affairs Olga batalina (fourth place). “Higher positions “United Russia” in the top 10 than parties-competitors, due to the fact that, owing to the preparations for the primaries, the party actually came first in the election campaign”, – noted in ISAPI.
Sixth place is taken by the head of the Duma budget Committee Andrey Makarov, who, according to the compilers of the rating, “the adoption of the budget … again proved to be one of the key figures in the discussion of the deputies with the financial – economic bloc of the expansion of the state Duma on the budget process in the year of big elections.”
The top ten “leaders” first up is the Communist Ivan Melnikov (seventh place) and spravoross Alexander Burkov (eighth place). “They are the main beneficiaries of successful performance of their parties in the 2015 elections and will be key figures in the election campaign of 2016: both are headed by the Federal election headquarters,” explain these positions in ISAPI.
Also in the “top ten” hit writer and social activist Zakhar Prilepin and the head of the Duma Committee for security and combating corruption Irina Yarovaya of the United Russia.
In the category of “Federal policy” in December included 54 participants of the rating. Among them – the Communist Valery Rashkin, leader of the faction “United Russia” in the state Duma Vladimir Vasiliev, Senator Dmitry Azarov, Russian state Duma Deputy and co-chair of the onf Olga Timofeeva.
In the category of “Public figures” – 24 name. In addition to the participants of the top-10 in this group – co-Chairman of the Moscow headquarters of the popular front Yaroslav Kuzminov, head of the onf project “For fair procurement” Anton Guetta, the new state Duma Deputy and activist of the Front Nikolai Govorin, and the latter two appear in the ranking for the first time.
In the category “Regional policy and Federal perspectives” (22 lines) on the first positions is located the Prosecutor of the Crimea Natalia Polonskaya, the speaker of the legislative Assembly of Sevastopol Alexey Chaly, the Deputy of legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk region Evgeny Artyukh, a Deputy of the state Duma from the Amur region Ivan Abramov (beginner “Rating-2016”) and the Deputy of the Moscow city Duma Andrey Klychkov.
Overall, compared with previous studies conducted before the September elections, in the December issue hit the 24 “novice”, the majority of them (ten new participants) is the category of “Regional policy”. “A significant part of the regional politicians that came forward last year, went with the first plan of the political field, at the same time we see new figures, which clearly manifested itself in the elections – either personally participated or engaged in election campaigns of their parties continue to work in the regions, obviously, preparing for the elections to the state Duma”, – said the Fire.
Nine newcomers have been classified as “Federal policy”, five were in the group of “Public figures” is proved by the onf at the Federal level (as, for example, Anton Guetta and Nikolay Govorin) and during the update to the regional headquarters of the movement (for example, Vyacheslav Lysakov and Olga Savastianova).
The forecast for the future
In the opinion of Fire, the following rankings can appear in the first quarter of 2016.
“It is difficult to predict, but I think it may be even more the presence of regional figures”, – he said, explaining that in this period of the election campaign in the regions “will be coming out at full capacity”.
The expert has not excluded that in the new ranking, perhaps there will be new figures from the parliamentary parties that they “will spin before the elections to the state Duma that would claim the role of the figures, creating a Federal agenda for parties in the election campaign”.
In addition, according to the representative of ISAPI, this period can be activated small, departamencie party. In this regard, he recalled that over the weekend the President was replaced by Apple – it was headed by the Deputy of legislative Assembly of Karelia Emilia Slabunov. Fire admits that when drafting the next rating of “experts will have food for thought whether the new leader of the “Yabloko” party change”, and perhaps it can be considered as a candidate in this rating.