Mironov called into question
“Fair Russia” intends to participate in the presidential election in 2018 and put forward its own candidate, said the first Deputy Chairman of the faction of the state Duma Deputy Alexander Burkov. According to him, this may be the current party leader and 63-year-old Sergey Mironov, but the decision is still pending.”Sergei Mikhailovich [Mironov] has experience of participation in the presidential campaign, and a willingness to run,” — he stressed. That decision on the candidate from “Fair Russia” not yet, confirmed by another senior party member.
Spravorossy intend to discuss the possible participants of the presidential campaign at a meeting with first Deputy head of the presidential administration, Sergei Kiriyenko, said one source and confirmed by a second in “Fair Russia”. “We all promise that this meeting [with Sergei Kiriyenko] to be, but while we are waiting,” he added.
The Kremlin failed to comment on a possible meeting Kiriyenko with the party leadership.
An alternative candidate can become Burkov, which experts call the main strategist spravorossov, suggested a source in the party. According to the interlocutor close to the Kremlin, Burkov may be preferable due to low ratings Mironov, whose participation is unlikely to raise interest in the elections.
A high turnout in the presidential election is fundamental for the Kremlin, this was confirmed at the last at the end of December the training seminar for regional Vice governors on domestic policy. As said Sergei Kiriyenko, the main candidate “should win with a very high turnout — 70%” and with a score of 70% of the vote, told the participants of the event. That the turnout will be a key issue in the upcoming elections, said in an interview with the head of the all-Russia centre of studying of public opinion (VTSIOM) Valery Fedorov.
According to the December opinion poll, personal rating Mironov as the party leader only 3.6%. In March 2004 the presidential election, leader of the just Russia took the last place, gaining 0.75 per cent of the votes, according to results of the presidential elections on March 4, 2012 he received a 3.85% of the vote, also finishing in last place.
Burkov information about his possible participation in the elections did not comment on — “it is premature”. His nomination is likely because he has the charisma and has shown at the last parliamentary elections a good result in the Sverdlovsk region (Burke heads the regional branch of the party), said political analyst Konstantin Kalachev. Spravorossy in the field gained 27.3 percent, which is almost twice higher than the result of the party in the whole country -13,24%.
Director of the International Institute of political expertise Yevgeny Minchenko adds that in addition to Mironov, Burkov and the candidate of the party would be the Deputy of the state Duma from the Chelyabinsk area Valery Garton. He was “one of the best candidates,” considering the totality of his personal qualities — “appearance, the ability to speak, energy,” explains the analyst.
However, Minchenko assumes that “Fair Russia” did not nominate its candidate and support another. As an example, he cites the 2008 presidential election, when the party supported the candidacy of Dmitry Medvedev.
Zyuganov always ready
This leaves open the question about participation in the presidential campaign of another party leader, 72-year-old Gennady Zyuganov. Four-time member of the presidential election, which traditionally holds the second place (in 2012, scored 17,18% of the votes), it can give way to younger candidates, I think the interlocutors in the party and the experts.
Zyuganov and LDPR leader Vladimir Zhirinovsky “everyone is already very tired,” said the head of VTsIOM Valery Fedorov. According to “Novaya Gazeta”, the Communist party may not nominate Zyuganov. As reported by the publication, in the Kremlin believe that the participation Zyuganov will not be able to raise interest in the upcoming elections.
A source close to the leadership of the party, said that Zyuganov to write off from the accounts before and that he will take part in the campaign. Another party member called the talk about refusal Zyuganov to go to the polls in 2018 “psevdonovost”. While the nomination of Zyuganov called into question, and he “he doubts whether to go,” said another source in the Communist party.
Zyuganov himself has previously stated in an interview with TV channel “Russia 24”, which allows the change of the party candidate. “A normal person, a responsible politician is always going to happen”, — he said. But, said Zyuganov, his candidacy remains a “priority.”
The decision on the candidate from the Communist party will also be taken following the meeting with Kiriyenko, knows close to the Kremlin source . According to him, it could be held “in the coming weeks.” A source close to the Kremlin, said that the administration is not against the participation in elections of 2018 party leader.
Among those who could replace Zyuganov, the interlocutors of “Novaya Gazeta” called the 39-year-old Yuri Afonin. Also, according to the newspaper, the party discussed the candidacy of the Governor of Irkutsk region Sergey Levchenko and the mayor of Novosibirsk Anatoly Elbow. Afonin, could be a candidate from the Communist party because the party needed a new face, agrees political analyst Konstantin Kalachev. Afonin shall Zyuganov all, continues the analyst — in addition, the candidate is 39 years of age, and his youth could be an additional “trick”.
Yevgeny Minchenko as a possible alternative candidates from the Communist party calls Afonina, Levchenko, Ivan Melnikov and Dmitry Novikov. But, most likely, the party will be nominated Zyuganov, said Minchenko.
Zhirinovsky out of competition
A candidate from the liberal democratic party is likely to be the 70-year-old Vladimir Zhirinovsky. Despite his age, debates on the nomination of another party candidate is not, said the official in the liberal democratic party. Zhirinovsky is the power to increase attendance, and his nomination is considered a major option in the Kremlin, confirmed a source close to the presidential administration.
Zhirinovsky has already declared on the website of the party of the intention to move. “Because someone like me to become President”, — explained in the statement of the leader of the liberal Democrats.
Formally, the question of the candidate of the liberal democratic party for the presidency will be decided at the party Congress. It will take place after the date of the elections, said the Deputy head of the faction Yaroslav Nilov.
“Personally, I believe that this will be the leader of LDPR Vladimir Zhirinovsky,” — said Nilov. There is no doubt that nominated Zhirinovsky, I agree with Nilavum RBC source in the liberal democratic party.
LDPR leader five times participated in the presidential elections, showed the best result in 2008, gaining more than 9% and taking third place. In the 2012 elections Zhirinovsky has gained more than 6%, yielding besides Putin and Zyuganov also Mikhail Prokhorov.
Among his possible successors Zhirinovsky in an interview Life.Ru in March last year called the Vice-speaker of the state Duma Igor Lebedev, deputies Mikhail Degtyarev, Yaroslav Nilov and Alexey Didenko (in the state Duma of the seventh convocation is headed by Duma committees). “But they don’t want to replace me, feel weak. I have to replace, you have to be better than me, because the flea does not change. Therefore, most likely, will ask me, and I will go to the polls in March 2018,” — said Zhirinovsky.
The intrigue for turnout
Participation in the elections, Zyuganov, Zhirinovsky and Mironov beneficial to the Kremlin, on their background Putin will look much more active and stronger, says Minchenko of the International Institute of political expertise. And the intrigue surrounding the nomination of party candidates is one way to mobilize the electorate, said political analyst Kalachev.
The leaders of the parliamentary opposition to the elections of 2018, be “very aged and they are very many times before he ran,” says associate Professor of the Institute of social Sciences of Ranepa Catherine Shulman. “How to drive the audience to the show, more reminiscent of Soviet “races on gun carriages”, it is difficult to understand,” says the analyst.
According to political analyst Igor Bunin, Mironov, Zyuganov and Zhirinovsky will not be able to ensure a high turnout, which is necessary to the Kremlin. According to him, outside the “field deja vu” as the main alternative in the Kremlin discussed the candidacy of Alexei Navalny, who after the November Supreme court decision that sent the “case of Kirovec” the reconsideration got the right to run. “I have the impression that lately the idea is to allow Navalny to participate in the election campaign was rejected, but she was,” said Bunin.
With the participation of Hope Konobeevskii, Natalia Galimova