The Kremlin has chosen the priority scenario of Putin’s nomination for the presidency


Self-promotion

Vladimir Putin is likely to participate in presidential elections as the independent candidate, this scenario is considered in the Kremlin as a priority, told RBC a source close to the presidential administration, confirmed the Federal official and another source close to the Kremlin. The nomination of the “United Russia” is unlikely, said one close to the presidential administration sources RBC.

Putin has strong support in the community, it is wider than the support of “United Russia”, and it is therefore logical that the President will go to elections, not from party, and yourself, says a source close to the Kremlin. The nomination of the “United Russia” hardly will affect the result of Putin, but because he positions himself as President of all Russians, the scenario of self-promotion “broad popular support” really is a priority, agrees the Federal official in an interview with RBC.

The legislation provides two variants of nomination from political parties and self-promotion. In 2000 and 2004, Putin went on elections as self-promotion, in 2011 — from the “United Russia”. That the party will nominate him as their candidate, it was announced at the Congress of “United Russia” on September, 24th — then Dmitry Medvedev refused to run for a second term, proposing to nominate Vladimir Putin. The sheer nomination took place at the party Congress on November 27.

Discussion of options

The pros and cons of the participation of Putin in the elections as a party and as a candidate was discussed at meetings with experts in the political block of the Kremlin. The majority of the discussion participants were inclined to think that self-promotion is the best option, says close to the presidential administration the source of RBC.

In the “United Russia” nomination of the head of state are not discussed, discussions with the party leadership on this subject, no one led, said RBC a source in the ruling party. Putin’s participation in elections as the independent candidate would be logical, because the head of state is trying to demonstrate closeness to the “United Russia”, but rather “shows that he is a President for all,” said the source in the party.

Putin himself their preferences have not yet expressed a final decision on the nomination for the presidency rests with him, said a Federal official and two sources close to the Kremlin. “This [format, extension] speech does not go”, — told RBC press Secretary of the President Dmitry Peskov.

Earlier that in the political unit of the presidential administration discussed the scenario of the participation of Putin in the elections as an independent candidate, reported, “Газета.Ru”.

Broad support

Putin endorses the work of the majority of citizens in all socio-demographic groups, particularly high support among women, representatives of medium and high income, residents of medium and small cities and villages and supporters of the “United Russia”, told RBC General Director of VTSIOM Valery Fedorov.

According to a telephone poll of “Sputnik” which VTSIOM conducted from 13 to 18 June, the activities of Putin as President approve 97% of supporters of the ruling party. Slightly less high level of approval among supporters of the Communist party (73%), LDPR (76%), “Fair Russia” (84%). As for supporters of non-parliamentary parties, among them the activities of Putin’s favor 68% of the respondents.

National headquarters

If Putin decides to run as an independent candidate, about his participation in the campaign, he may declare either in the “Forum actions” all-Russia popular front (onf), which is traditionally held at the end of the year, or at some other event “in the popular format”, which will be attended by various representatives of the public — such options are considered, says a source close to the Kremlin. Can be created a public mission, which formally will be engaged in the presidential campaign, the real headquarters of a technology will work in the presidential administration, said a Federal official.

National headquarters may be established on the basis of the popular front as the presidential movement, said the source close to the Kremlin. “United Russia” as the presidential party, of course, will support Putin, will help with the collection of signatures, plus it can support other parties, who will not nominate its candidate, he adds. “If we set the task [to create a headquarters on the basis of the popular front], then we will fulfill it. We presidential movement and is in the presidential agenda, always able staff,” said RBC head of the Executive Committee of the popular front Alexey Anisimov.

The question of the headquarters of Putin and format of their work have not been worked out, it will be decided after the script extension will be determined by the President, told RBC Federal official and a source close to the Kremlin.

Non-partisan candidate

“Putin — the post-partisan President, the referee, expressing the interests of holders of different political views, the majority leader. To go the independent candidate it is more convenient”, — said RBC analyst Konstantin Kalachev. This way extension will help legitimize the results and demonstrate “popular support” to the President and the “unity of the nation,” the expert believes. And the collection of signatures in support of nomination will be an important mobilizing factor in campaigns.

The rating of “United Russia” less than presidential, but the ruling party as an additional tool still will play a role in the elections, concludes the expert.

Putin resets “the whole potential of the ballast, which can prevent it in the elections,” says RBC analyst Nikolai Mironov. In his opinion the nomination of the President will cause serious reputational damage to the ruling party. “But this option is still possible. The basis of the system is a President for him in a critical crisis situation we can make the deadline and bears [United Russia], and Medvedev, if necessary”, — said the interlocutor of RBC.

In 2011 Putin went from the “United Russia” to strengthen its ratings in the face of massive protests, says the expert.

The nomination of Putin from the ruling party in 2011 could be a part of his batch of agreements with Dmitry Medvedev, says analyst Abbas Gallyamov. “Like, you give me the chair [head of state], but I was nominated from the “United Russia” [since 2007, the ruling party headed by Putin at the Congress on 24 September 2011 it was headed by Medvedev], and as a result we demonstrate the inextricable bundle”, — says the expert. In a typical situation the nomination of the “United Russia” the President does not need, since voters prefer to see the head of state is nonpartisan, says Gallyamov.

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