Silence in Tashkent: what happens in Uzbekistan against the background of Karimov’s disease

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On Tuesday, the official information about the health of the President of Uzbekistan Islam Karimov was received. After Monday night about his death reported the news Agency “Fergana”, the sources of RIA Novosti and Interfax” in the government said that he is alive and is in serious but stable condition.

IA “Fergana” first, on Sunday, reported that Karimov suffered a stroke. Information about stroke on Monday afternoon confirmed the youngest daughter of the President, Lola Karimova-Tillyaeva. In your account in social networks, she wrote that her father on Saturday suffered a brain hemorrhage, was hospitalized and is in intensive care unit.

In Moscow, according to the officials, based on the fact that the President is alive and can recover. “We know that there have been various messages that are not confirmed, so any new information now we do not have. While you can only actually say that these night messages [about the death of the head of Uzbekistan] is not confirmed, we believe this” — said the press Secretary of the President of Russia Dmitry Peskov.

“I possess approximately the same information as you. We sincerely wish the President a speedy recovery. They have 1 Sep full. Let’s see,” said bringe reporters Russian presidential aide Yuri Ushakov.

Feast on a smaller scale

On 1 September, the government had planned large-scale celebrations on the occasion of the 25th anniversary of independence. On Tuesday it became known that they will be on an abbreviated program: concert, which was held in the center of Tashkent, was canceled.

“On 31 August and 1 September in the country will be holding events dedicated to the 25th anniversary of independence, with the exception of the concert, which is traditionally arranged on one of the Central squares of the capital with the participation of head of state”, — said the representative of the organizing Committee (quoted by “Interfax”). He stressed that during the holidays there will be an official event, during which will be awarded marks “25 years of independence of Uzbekistan”, and on 1 September in Tashkent and other cities of the country mass festivities.

The Sputnik Agency of Uzbekistan, citing a source reported on Tuesday evening that will congratulate on the holiday citizens, Prime Minister Shavkat Mirziyaev. He, according to experts Daniil Kislov and Arkady Dubnov;, is the main favorite to replace Karimov. “We also said that a congratulatory speech this time to be the Prime Minister of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoev,” — quoted Sputnik the words of a source familiar with the situation.

According to the head of Department of Central Asia at the Institute of CIS countries Andrei Grozin, the one who appears on the podium in independence Day, “and he will be the number one man in Uzbekistan in the near future”

Meanwhile, international leaders have sent congratulatory messages Karimov on the occasion. As reported by the state Agency UzA, congratulations were received from President Barack Obama and President XI Jinping. Obama in his message expressed hope for the continuation of sotrudnichestva between countries, cites his congratulations to the Agency. “I am ready together with You to make efforts to promote Sino-Uzbek relations to a comprehensive strategic partnership to achieve great results and for the benefit of the peoples of the two countries”, — stated in the message, XI Jinping.

History of silence

In addition to the Prime Minister, headed the government since 2003, the number of successors called the Vice-permier Rustam Azimov. On Monday, the Russian news Agency Regnum reported that Azimov was detained. However, on Tuesday morning agencies Sputnik Uzbekistan denied this information. The Ministry of Finance, where Asimov said that he is at work.

According to the law in case of impossibility of the President to perform the duties of the acting President becomes the President of the Senate. Now this post is Nigmatilla Yuldashev. However, in practice the former Soviet Union, this norm is not respected. In 2006, when he died, the President of Turkmenistan Saparmurat Niyazov, the State security Council laid the duties of the President the Minister of health and Deputy Prime Minister Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov, who is also head of the funeral Commission, and in February 2007 won the election. Turkmen opposition then claimed that on the death of Turkmenbashi, it was reported later than she arrived.

Similar claims opposition was presented to the authorities of Azerbaijan: in 2003, President Heydar Aliyev disappeared from public policy in July, it was announced that he had health problems, his death was reported in December after his son Ilham in October won the election.

Within the establishment of Uzbekistan “there is an internal coordination, as will be the operation of succession” indicates Grozin on the reasons why the Uzbek authorities do not give more details about the President’s health. According to Grozin, the success of this process “is necessary to leading people and leading financial and industrial group withdrew the conflict and agreed on their positions”.

If the President is alive, the name of the acting is not called due to the lack of agreement on who should be, experts say. He does not exclude the fact that Karimov may still appear at the festival on 1 September, the illness in this case can be considered a “test of loyalty”.