Expert: neither Russia nor the United States will not make concessions to each other during the visit of Bolton

MOSCOW, June 27. /TASS/. The visit of the assistant to the President for national security John Bolton to Moscow, associated with the preparation of the meeting of Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald trump will not bring any breakthroughs in Russian-American relations. This opinion was expressed in an interview with TASS Director of the Institute of USA and Canada (ISK) Russian Academy of Sciences Valery Garbuzov.

“Don’t expect the arrival of Bolton any breakthroughs, he said. – The U.S. position on a number of issues that can be discussed, known, so I do not think that this plan will be any surprises or secrets. According to the Donbas the US position articulated by officials, including the President of trump, so it is unlikely there will be any changes; the problem of Crimea has faded into the background, but this does not mean that the U.S. position on this issue has changed.”

“All the current situation is that neither Russia nor the United States is ready to offer some compromise associated with concessions, – the expert continued. – This option is not there, the situation is deadlocked. Any dialogue, any compromise is associated with the concessions, but now we live in a time when neither one nor the other party is not willing to make such concessions. Whether the time has not come yet, whether the people are not the same, whether a critical mass of tension has not yet accumulated sufficiently in order that Moscow and Washington came to understand the need to make mutual concessions”.

According to Garbuzova, trump’s assistant for national security in Moscow will re-assert in a rigid form the US position on a range of issues. “Bolton is a tough guy, who not by chance was called to the administration trump: this undoubted professional will be able to defend the position of the United States, said the americanist. – It’s not very useful as a negotiator, as it is not inclined to compromise. He will insist on his own, but the Russian side will defend its position”.

Negativity in the relationship

Garbuzov carefully assesses the prospects of the meeting of leaders of the Russian Federation and the United States, which is expected to take place in mid-July in Vienna. “From Putin’s meeting with trump, even if it takes place, it is hardly possible to expect any breakthroughs. To what extent such a meeting is pointless – they are just meeting, Vladimir Putin once again convinced that Donald trump wants to change something in relations with Russia, but has nothing to do, he said. – I don’t think this meeting will end with signing of some agreements”.

However, he admitted that the leaders of Russia and the USA in the course of the meeting can reach some verbal agreements, which they did not oblige. “The meeting, of course, may result in some verbal agreements mean little. The General atmosphere, the kind of texture that exists today in our bilateral relations does not allow to say that this summer can happen a breakthrough in Russian – American cooperation”, – said the expert.

“Until now, Putin and trump met at various international venues, and if now this special meeting will be organized, it would be logical if it was initially prepared with the prospect of concluding agreement, the agreement, or at least the Declaration, – the expert continued. Yet any evidence that such a document is prepared, no. The agenda that is formed between our countries, the negative, and as this agenda to find a basis for agreements is unclear”.

The talks in Moscow

Bolton arrives on Wednesday to Moscow for consultations, including over the potential meeting of the American and Russian presidents. Press Secretary of the President Dmitry Peskov on Tuesday did not rule out that Putin will take Bolton.

The Russian foreign Ministry on 25 June confirmed that the Russian foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will meet with the assistant to the President for national security on June 27.

9 June, the press Secretary of the President of the Russian Federation said that Putin and trump during the last telephone conversation discussed that Vienna may be one of the cities to conduct their bilateral meeting. On 16 June, the Chancellor of Austria Sebastian Kurz confirmed in an interview with the Austrian TV channel OE-24.TV that Vienna offered to host the summit between Russia and the United States.